On May 19, 2026, Minnesota became the first US state to outright ban Kalshi and Polymarket. The CFTC sued the next day. Here's the timeline, the legal stakes, and why Florida is on the opposite side of the fight.
Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not licensed gambling — though several states dispute that for sports contracts. Functionally they share risk-of-loss with gambling, so trade carefully.
Yes, Kalshi is legit and safe. CFTC-regulated, customer funds segregated at FDIC-insured banks, operating since 2021. Here's the full safety breakdown.
Kalshi lists multiple contracts on whether — and when — Florida's Marco Rubio will announce a 2028 presidential run. Here's the live odds and what to watch.
Kalshi lists every possible Buccaneers regular-season win total (0–17) as a separate contract. Here's how to trade Tampa Bay's 2026 season from Florida.
The order book tells you the truth about a market — liquidity, smart money positioning, and whether your order will get filled. Here's how to read it.
Senators Merkley and Warren plus Rep. Raskin introduced a bill in March 2026 to ban sports, election, and war event contracts. Here's what it means for FL.
Kalshi's April 27 'Timeless' launch introduces perpetual event contracts with no expiry. Here's how they work and why FL traders should care.
Already on Robinhood? You can trade Kalshi's markets through the app you already use. Everything Florida traders need to know.
Florida's only legal sportsbook vs. the federally-regulated prediction market alternative — a head-to-head for FL sports fans.
How federal taxes apply to your Kalshi and Polymarket gains — and why Florida's no-state-income-tax status is a real edge.
A plain-English guide to prediction markets for Floridians — what they are, how they differ from Hard Rock Bet, and how to make your first trade.
