Florida Politics Markets
Florida is one of the most actively traded political prediction market states in the country. With an open-seat governor's race, an incumbent appointed senator, and competitive congressional districts, 2026 is a goldmine for politically engaged traders.
Florida's 2026 election cycle is unusually active. Ron DeSantis is term-limited, creating a wide-open governor's race. Ashley Moody — appointed to fill Marco Rubio's vacated seat — faces her first statewide election as a sitting senator. And the I-4 corridor's congressional districts will set the early tone for the national midterm narrative on November 3.
Kalshi and Polymarket both list live markets on every major Florida race. Below are our three deep-dive guides covering the Governor, Senate, and U.S. House races — including current odds, key dates, and trading strategy.
2026 Florida Governor Race Prediction Market: Odds, Candidates & How to Trade
Live odds, candidate breakdown, and a full trading playbook for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial race on Kalshi and Polymarket.
2026 Florida U.S. Senate Race: Ashley Moody Prediction Market Guide
How to trade the Ashley Moody Senate race on Kalshi and Polymarket — odds, candidates, key dates, and strategy.
Florida Congressional District Prediction Markets 2026: Which Races to Watch
Florida's competitive House districts are some of the most tradeable down-ballot markets in the country. Here's where the action is.
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Sources & references
- 1.Commodity Futures Trading Commission — Event Contracts — CFTC.gov
- 2.Kalshi wins court battle to offer election contracts — Reuters
- 3.How prediction markets work — The New York Times
- 4.Polymarket and the rise of prediction markets — Associated Press
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