Recap: Kalshi Super Bowl 2026 Markets

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Recap: Kalshi listed a full Super Bowl LX board, from the winner to MVP and halftime props, before the February 8, 2026 game, which Seattle won 29–13 over New England.

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Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Last checked October 5, 2026

Key takeaways

Team winner — the most-traded contract on the board, especially in the final week.
MVP — QB-heavy pricing throughout the playoffs.
Halftime-show props — heavily tied to the announced performer's catalog and history.
First-half winner and first scoring-play type — popular tight-margin props.

Recap: The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29–13 in Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium; running back Kenneth Walker III was named MVP (CBS Sports). The guide below was written before kickoff, so its prices are from then. For this season's markets, see NFL 2026 prediction markets for Florida fans.

Kalshi lists one of the most extensive Super Bowl boards on any U.S. CFTC-regulated exchange. By kickoff week the board typically includes the team winner, MVP, halftime-show props tied to the announced performer (Bad Bunny for Super Bowl LX), drive-by-drive scoring props, totals, and a long tail of in-game contracts.

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Where the deepest liquidity sits

Team winner — the most-traded contract on the board, especially in the final week.
MVP — QB-heavy pricing throughout the playoffs.
Halftime-show props — heavily tied to the announced performer's catalog and history.
First-half winner and first scoring-play type — popular tight-margin props.

Settlement and rules

Game-outcome markets settle on the NFL's official final score, usually within minutes of the game ending. Halftime-show props settle on a defined source — typically the broadcast itself plus confirmation by major entertainment news outlets. Edge cases (a halftime guest who appears off-screen, for example) are addressed in each market's specific rules block. Always read the rules before trading a prop you're unfamiliar with.

Florida and fees

Kalshi is a CFTC-designated contract market that accepts Florida residents (status: Available, as of 3 October 2026). Fees use a formula-based schedule (7¢ × C × (1−C) per contract for takers, with a max around 1.75¢ at 50¢); the full schedule is at kalshi.com/fee-schedule.

Which Kalshi Super Bowl market fits which view

If you think…	Trade this market	Settlement basis
One team wins it all	Super Bowl winner (per-team YES)	Official NFL result
A specific player is decisive	MVP market	Official Super Bowl MVP announcement
The game is high or low scoring	Total points threshold contracts	Final official score
A halftime or broadcast event happens	Prop contracts	The source named in the contract rules

Liquidity moves late

Winner contracts stay liquid all season, but MVP and prop contracts typically thin out until the two weeks before the game. If you want to build a prop position, expect wider spreads early and better fills as the game approaches — and check the depth on both sides of the book before assuming you can exit at the quoted price.

Costs matter on short holds

Kalshi's trading fee scales with how close a contract trades to 50¢, so a coin-flip prop costs more per contract than a heavy favourite. Short-horizon trades where you intend to flip the position within days are the most fee-sensitive; read our Kalshi fees breakdown before sizing them.

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What Is Kalshi? A Plain-English Explainer (2026)

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange where you trade Yes/No on real-world outcomes — sports, politics, weather, economics — at peer-to-peer prices.

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Sources & references

Super Bowl LX — Date, Venue, Halftime — NFL.com
Kalshi — Fee Schedule — Kalshi
KalshiEX LLC — DCM Registration — CFTC.gov

External links open in a new tab. We cite primary regulatory and major news sources where possible. Citations to trusted regulators (CFTC, SEC, IRS, NOAA, .gov, .edu) are dofollow; commercial outbound links are not endorsements.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kalshi legal in Florida for Super Bowl markets?

Available (as of October 3, 2026). Kalshi is a CFTC-designated contract market that accepts Florida residents (status: Available, as of 3 October 2026).

When do Kalshi Super Bowl markets resolve?

Game-outcome markets resolve on the official NFL final score, usually within minutes of the game ending.

What halftime-show markets does Kalshi list?

The slate is set closer to the game, anchored on the announced performer — Bad Bunny for Super Bowl LX — and typically includes appearance and song-related props.

How much do Kalshi fees cost on a Super Bowl trade?

Kalshi's published taker formula is 7¢ × C × (1−C) per contract, capped around 1.75¢ at 50¢. Fees scale with how close to 50¢ the contract is trading.

Are Kalshi Super Bowl contracts legal in every state?

No. Kalshi's welcome offer is available in 47 states plus D.C. (not Michigan, Nevada or Washington); courts have ordered Kalshi to block sports contracts in Nevada, Michigan and Washington, where other markets may stay open. Whether state gambling law can reach sports contracts is being decided in the federal courts. Operator eligibility checks apply at signup.

Are Kalshi Super Bowl markets available in Florida?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market, so its Super Bowl contracts are open to Florida residents alongside every other state where Kalshi operates.

How much does a Kalshi Super Bowl trade cost?

Kalshi charges a variable trading fee that peaks near 50¢ pricing and falls toward the extremes. There is no separate deposit or account fee.