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Recap: Who Won Super Bowl LX, and What Prediction Markets Expected

Seattle won Super Bowl LX 29–13. Here's what the prediction markets expected beforehand.

By , Founder & Editor-in-Chief

Quick answer

Seattle won Super Bowl LX, beating New England 29–13 on February 8, 2026; Kenneth Walker III was MVP. This page shows how Kalshi and Polymarket priced the game beforehand.

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Last checked October 5, 2026

Key takeaways

  • Quarterback availability and injury reports.
  • Playoff seeding and bye outcomes.
  • Weather forecasts for outdoor playoff matchups.
  • Late-season trades and coaching decisions.
Recap: Who Won Super Bowl LX, and What Prediction Markets Expected

Recap: The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29–13 in Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium; running back Kenneth Walker III was named MVP (CBS Sports). The guide below was written before kickoff, so its prices are from then. For this season's markets, see NFL 2026 prediction markets for Florida fans.

Super Bowl LX is February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, with Bad Bunny on halftime. Pundits will spend the season offering predictions; the prediction markets price them. Because Kalshi and Polymarket are CFTC-regulated venues with real money on every contract, their implied probabilities arguably give the cleanest read on what informed money currently thinks.

Live Odds

Trending Markets

Real-time prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. Updates every minute.

Updated 09:40:38

How to read the favorite

The team with the highest YES price on the Super Bowl winner contract is the market favorite. That price equals the implied probability — a 28¢ favorite is being priced at roughly a 28% chance to win the title. As playoff seeding firms up, expect the gap between the favorite and the field to widen on both platforms.

What moves the price

  • Quarterback availability and injury reports.
  • Playoff seeding and bye outcomes.
  • Weather forecasts for outdoor playoff matchups.
  • Late-season trades and coaching decisions.

Where to trade

Both Kalshi and Polymarket list Super Bowl winner contracts. Both are CFTC-regulated and available in Florida. The deeper book varies week to week; the widget above shows both side by side.

How to read the winner market

A Super Bowl winner market lists one YES contract per team. The price in cents is the market-implied probability, so a team at 18¢ is being priced near an 18% chance. Because every team's YES price is quoted separately, the sum across the field usually exceeds 100¢ — that gap is the spread the book is charging, and it narrows as the season progresses and uncertainty falls.

When prices move most

  • Starting-quarterback injury news, which is the single largest driver of Super Bowl pricing.
  • Playoff seeding weekends, when a bye or a road path materially changes a team's route.
  • Trade deadline moves for contending rosters.
  • The conference championship results, after which the field collapses to two teams.

Trading it from Florida

Florida residents can hold Super Bowl winner contracts on Kalshi, Polymarket and OG without any state-level restriction, because these are federally regulated event contracts rather than sportsbook wagers. You can also exit before the game — selling a position that has appreciated after a playoff run is how most traders realise profit, rather than holding to settlement.

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Related guides

Pillar pages

Sources & references

  1. Super Bowl LX — Date, Venue, Halftime — NFL.com
  2. Commodity Futures Trading Commission — Event Contracts — CFTC.gov

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Frequently asked questions

How accurate are prediction markets at predicting the Super Bowl?
They reflect aggregated real-money flow rather than expert opinion. There's no audited public accuracy track record we'd cite as a guarantee, but markets are usually competitive with sportsbook closing lines.
Where can Florida residents bet on Super Bowl LX?
On Kalshi or Polymarket. Both are CFTC-regulated and accept eligible Florida residents (status: Available, as of 3 October 2026).
Who was the favorite before kickoff?
Check the live widget above — pricing shifts continuously through the season.
When and where is the game?
February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Bad Bunny is the halftime performer.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different Super Bowl prices?
They are separate order books with different traders and liquidity, so prices can differ by a few cents. Large persistent gaps usually reflect thin volume on one venue.
Can I sell my Super Bowl contract before the game?
Yes. Event contracts trade continuously until settlement, so you can close a position at the current market price at any time there is a bid.
Why do the team prices add up to more than 100%?
Each team's YES contract is quoted separately with its own spread. The overround shrinks as the season narrows the field.

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