Super Bowl LX Recap: How Prediction Markets Priced It

Quick answer

Recap: Seattle beat New England 29–13 in Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026, with Kenneth Walker III as MVP. This guide shows how Kalshi and Polymarket priced the game beforehand.

Kalshi · Trade $25 and Get $25!

MIAPREDICTS

Claim on Kalshi

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Last checked October 5, 2026

Key takeaways

Team winner — both platforms list deep books; spreads tend to tighten the final week.
MVP — typically QB-heavy pricing. Polymarket has historically run a wider MVP slate.
Halftime show / cultural props — Polymarket lists more of these around Bad Bunny's set in 2026.
Coin toss, first scoring play, drive-by-drive props — Kalshi has the broader range in 2026.

Recap: Super Bowl 2026 Odds on Prediction Markets

Recap: The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29–13 in Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium; running back Kenneth Walker III was named MVP (CBS Sports). The guide below was written before kickoff, so its prices are from then. For this season's markets, see NFL 2026 prediction markets for Florida fans.

Super Bowl LX is scheduled for Sunday, February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, with Bad Bunny performing the halftime show. Both Kalshi and Polymarket — the two U.S. CFTC-regulated prediction markets — list deep books around the game: team winner, MVP, halftime-show props, scoring props, and dozens of in-game markets.

Live Odds

Trending Markets

Real-time prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. Updates every minute.

Updated 09:39:19

How to read the boards

Each market lists a YES price in cents. That price reflects the market's current probability estimate; evaluate it alongside available liquidity, fees, and the contract's settlement language before trading.

Which platform for which market

Team winner — both platforms list deep books; spreads tend to tighten the final week.
MVP — typically QB-heavy pricing. Polymarket has historically run a wider MVP slate.
Halftime show / cultural props — Polymarket lists more of these around Bad Bunny's set in 2026.
Coin toss, first scoring play, drive-by-drive props — Kalshi has the broader range in 2026.

Markets across event-contract venues

Event-contract venues can show different prices, liquidity, fees, and contract rules for the same type of event. Check the current order book and fee schedule on each regulated venue rather than importing assumptions from another product category.

Florida access

Both Kalshi and Polymarket are available to Florida residents — neither operates under the Florida-Seminole sports-betting compact. They're federally regulated derivatives exchanges, accessible statewide.

Reading prediction-market contract prices

An exchange quotes a Yes/No contract price in cents. That price reflects the market's current view of an outcome and should be evaluated alongside liquidity, settlement language, and fees before you trade.

How to compare venues quickly

Read the exchange's Yes/No contract language.
Check the current contract price and available liquidity.
Review the venue's trading and settlement fees.
Confirm the resolution source and timing before taking a position.

Why Florida traders use exchanges for this market

Florida traders can review regulated event-contract venues such as Kalshi, Polymarket, and OG for market availability, liquidity, and exit flexibility. A position may be closed before the event resolves, subject to the venue's order book and rules.

$25 Polymarket trading bonus with code MIAPREDICTSClaim

Related guides

Pillar pages

Sources & references

Super Bowl LX — Date, Venue, Halftime — NFL.com
Kalshi — Fee Schedule — Kalshi
Polymarket US — Fee Schedule — Polymarket Docs
Commodity Futures Trading Commission — Event Contracts — CFTC.gov

External links open in a new tab. We cite primary regulatory and major news sources where possible. Citations to trusted regulators (CFTC, SEC, IRS, NOAA, .gov, .edu) are dofollow; commercial outbound links are not endorsements.

Continue reading

Frequently asked questions

When and where is Super Bowl LX?

Sunday, February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California (San Francisco Bay Area). Bad Bunny is the halftime performer.

Can Florida residents bet on the Super Bowl through prediction markets?

Yes — both Kalshi and Polymarket are CFTC-regulated and available in Florida.

Which has better Super Bowl liquidity, Kalshi or Polymarket?

Both run deep books in the final week. Kalshi tends to lead on prop variety; Polymarket has had a wider MVP slate historically.

How should I compare Super Bowl contracts across venues?

Compare the current contract language, price, available liquidity, trading fees, settlement source, and expected resolution timing on each venue.

Are the fees high on Super Bowl markets?

Both platforms use formula-based fees that scale with how close to 50¢ a contract is trading. Fee schedules are published at kalshi.com/fee-schedule and docs.polymarket.us/fees.

Can I cash out a Super Bowl contract before the game?

Yes. Event contracts trade continuously, so you can sell your position at the current market price any time before settlement instead of waiting for the final whistle.

Do prediction-market prices move quickly?

They can. Exchange prices update with order flow and new information, but liquidity and the specific contract rules determine how easily you can enter or exit.

What does it cost to trade the Super Bowl on an exchange?

Costs vary by venue, contract, price, and liquidity. Review the current fee schedule and settlement terms before trading.