Recap: Super Bowl LX Odds Tracker (2026)

Quick answer

Recap: this tracker followed Super Bowl LX prices on Kalshi and Polymarket before the February 8, 2026 game, which Seattle won 29–13 over New England. It is no longer live.

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Last checked October 5, 2026

Key takeaways

YES price in cents = implied probability (53¢ ≈ 53%).
Volume column reflects recent activity — thin markets can move quickly on news.
Kalshi and Polymarket can diverge by a few cents on the same outcome during slow weeks; if you hold accounts on both, that's where arbitrage opportunities show up.

Recap: Super Bowl LX Odds Tracker (2026)

Recap: The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29–13 in Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium; running back Kenneth Walker III was named MVP (CBS Sports). The guide below was written before kickoff, so its prices are from then. For this season's markets, see NFL 2026 prediction markets for Florida fans. This tracker is no longer live.

This page is a continuously-refreshed view of Super Bowl LX odds across the two U.S. CFTC-regulated prediction markets — Kalshi and Polymarket. The widget below pulls live YES prices and volume; the page-level review date is auto-bumped each week by an internal refresh job, so the timestamp at the top reflects when we last revisited the editorial content, not when the prices last changed.

Live Odds

Trending Markets

Real-time prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. Updates every minute.

Updated 09:39:32

How to read the board

YES price in cents = implied probability (53¢ ≈ 53%).
Volume column reflects recent activity — thin markets can move quickly on news.
Kalshi and Polymarket can diverge by a few cents on the same outcome during slow weeks; if you hold accounts on both, that's where arbitrage opportunities show up.

Cross-market comparison

When the two CFTC exchanges quote materially different probabilities for the same Super Bowl outcome, the more liquid side is usually the better reference price. Kalshi tends to lead on team-winner depth in the final weeks; Polymarket often leads on MVP and cultural props. Convergence usually happens within hours once a meaningful news event drops.

Game logistics

Super Bowl LX was played on Sunday, February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Bad Bunny is the halftime performer.

How to use a live tracker properly

A tracker is most useful for spotting divergence, not for chasing the headline number. When the same team is priced meaningfully differently on two CFTC-regulated venues, that gap is either an opportunity or a signal that one book is thin. Checking depth on both sides tells you which.

The moments worth watching

Wednesday and Friday injury reports during the season.
Sunday afternoon, when results across the league reprice the whole field at once.
Playoff seeding weekend, when byes and road paths are decided.
The two weeks before the game, when prop and MVP liquidity finally arrives.

Converting cents to probability

An exchange price in cents is the implied probability: 12 cents means the market prices roughly a 12 percent chance and pays one dollar per share on settlement. Subtract fees from your expected return to see what a position is actually worth to you.

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Related guides

Pillar pages

Sources & references

Super Bowl LX — Date, Venue, Halftime — NFL.com
Commodity Futures Trading Commission — Event Contracts — CFTC.gov
KalshiEX LLC — DCM Registration — CFTC.gov

External links open in a new tab. We cite primary regulatory and major news sources where possible. Citations to trusted regulators (CFTC, SEC, IRS, NOAA, .gov, .edu) are dofollow; commercial outbound links are not endorsements.

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Frequently asked questions

How often does this Super Bowl odds tracker update?

The embedded widget pulls live and refreshes regularly. The page-level review date is automatically bumped weekly by our refresh job.

Which prediction market tends to have tighter Super Bowl spreads?

It varies by market. Kalshi typically leads on team-winner depth in the final weeks; Polymarket often leads on MVP and cultural props.

Can Florida residents use this tracker to place trades?

Yes. Both linked platforms are CFTC-regulated and available to Florida residents.

Where is Super Bowl LX?

Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, on February 8, 2026.

Is this tracker showing real exchange prices?

Yes. The live markets block pulls current pricing from the exchanges rather than a manually entered table.

Which venue updates fastest?

Whichever has more volume on that specific contract. Depth, not brand, determines how quickly a price reflects news.