Super Bowl 2026 Odds on Prediction Markets
Super Bowl LX is February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium. Here's how to read the prediction-market contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi and compare venues responsibly.
- Team winner — both platforms list deep books; spreads tend to tighten the final week.
- MVP — typically QB-heavy pricing. Polymarket has historically run a wider MVP slate.
- Halftime show / cultural props — Polymarket lists more of these around Bad Bunny's set in 2026.
- Coin toss, first scoring play, drive-by-drive props — Kalshi has the broader range in 2026.
Super Bowl LX is scheduled for Sunday, February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, with Bad Bunny performing the halftime show. Both Kalshi and Polymarket — the two U.S. CFTC-regulated prediction markets — list deep books around the game: team winner, MVP, halftime-show props, scoring props, and dozens of in-game markets.
How to read the boards
Each market lists a YES price in cents. That price reflects the market's current probability estimate; evaluate it alongside available liquidity, fees, and the contract's settlement language before trading.
Which platform for which market
- •Team winner — both platforms list deep books; spreads tend to tighten the final week.
- •MVP — typically QB-heavy pricing. Polymarket has historically run a wider MVP slate.
- •Halftime show / cultural props — Polymarket lists more of these around Bad Bunny's set in 2026.
- •Coin toss, first scoring play, drive-by-drive props — Kalshi has the broader range in 2026.
Markets across event-contract venues
Event-contract venues can show different prices, liquidity, fees, and contract rules for the same type of event. Check the current order book and fee schedule on each regulated venue rather than importing assumptions from another product category.
Florida access
Both Kalshi and Polymarket are available to Florida residents — neither operates under the Florida-Seminole sports-betting compact. They're federally regulated derivatives exchanges, accessible statewide.
Reading prediction-market contract prices
An exchange quotes a Yes/No contract price in cents. That price reflects the market's current view of an outcome and should be evaluated alongside liquidity, settlement language, and fees before you trade.
How to compare venues quickly
- 1.Read the exchange's Yes/No contract language.
- 2.Check the current contract price and available liquidity.
- 3.Review the venue's trading and settlement fees.
- 4.Confirm the resolution source and timing before taking a position.
Why Florida traders use exchanges for this market
Florida traders can review regulated event-contract venues such as Kalshi, Polymarket, and OG for market availability, liquidity, and exit flexibility. A position may be closed before the event resolves, subject to the venue's order book and rules.
Frequently Asked Questions
Related guides
Pillar pages
Sources & references
- 1.Super Bowl LX — Date, Venue, Halftime — NFL.com
- 2.Kalshi — Fee Schedule — Kalshi
- 3.Polymarket US — Fee Schedule — Polymarket Docs
- 4.Commodity Futures Trading Commission — Event Contracts — CFTC.gov
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Fifteen years in regulated gambling: that's Catie Di Stefano's track record, beginning at Betsson Group in Malta and continuing through nearly five years at Gaming Innovation Group (GiG).
She went on to run an independent consultancy across European and US iGaming brands — including a licensed engagement with Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Atlantic City under a New Jersey DGE vendor license — and spoke publicly on Florida's gaming market as early as 2022, at a Next.io panel in New York.