Super Bowl Odds Live Tracker (2026)
A continuously-refreshed read of Super Bowl LX odds across Kalshi and Polymarket. The widget pulls live; the page is re-stamped weekly by an automated review job.
- YES price in cents = implied probability (53¢ ≈ 53%).
- Volume column reflects recent activity — thin markets can move quickly on news.
- Kalshi and Polymarket can diverge by a few cents on the same outcome during slow weeks; if you hold accounts on both, that's where arbitrage opportunities show up.
This page is a continuously-refreshed view of Super Bowl LX odds across the two U.S. CFTC-regulated prediction markets — Kalshi and Polymarket. The widget below pulls live YES prices and volume; the page-level review date is auto-bumped each week by an internal refresh job, so the timestamp at the top reflects when we last revisited the editorial content, not when the prices last changed.
How to read the board
- •YES price in cents = implied probability (53¢ ≈ 53%).
- •Volume column reflects recent activity — thin markets can move quickly on news.
- •Kalshi and Polymarket can diverge by a few cents on the same outcome during slow weeks; if you hold accounts on both, that's where arbitrage opportunities show up.
Cross-market comparison
When the two CFTC exchanges quote materially different probabilities for the same Super Bowl outcome, the more liquid side is usually the better reference price. Kalshi tends to lead on team-winner depth in the final weeks; Polymarket often leads on MVP and cultural props. Convergence usually happens within hours once a meaningful news event drops.
Game logistics
Super Bowl LX kicks off Sunday, February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Bad Bunny is the halftime performer.
How to use a live tracker properly
A tracker is most useful for spotting divergence, not for chasing the headline number. When the same team is priced meaningfully differently on two CFTC-regulated venues, that gap is either an opportunity or a signal that one book is thin. Checking depth on both sides tells you which.
The moments worth watching
- •Wednesday and Friday injury reports during the season.
- •Sunday afternoon, when results across the league reprice the whole field at once.
- •Playoff seeding weekend, when byes and road paths are decided.
- •The two weeks before the game, when prop and MVP liquidity finally arrives.
Converting cents to probability
An exchange price in cents is the implied probability: 12 cents means the market prices roughly a 12 percent chance and pays one dollar per share on settlement. Subtract fees from your expected return to see what a position is actually worth to you.
Frequently Asked Questions
Related guides
Pillar pages
Sources & references
- 1.Super Bowl LX — Date, Venue, Halftime — NFL.com
- 2.Commodity Futures Trading Commission — Event Contracts — CFTC.gov
- 3.KalshiEX LLC — DCM Registration — CFTC.gov
External links open in a new tab. We cite primary regulatory and major news sources where possible. Citations to trusted regulators (CFTC, SEC, IRS, NOAA, .gov, .edu) are dofollow; commercial outbound links are not endorsements.
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